Merw vs Ahal FT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
61.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
BFT
0 - 1
MER
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
MER
1 - 1
ALT
14%
20%
67%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
MER
0 - 1
AHA
14%
20%
67%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
FKA
8 - 3
MER
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -3 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
AHA
4 - 0
MER
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ahal FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
AHA
5 - 0
EFT
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
OLM
3 - 0
AHA
75%
15%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
PFC
3 - 0
AHA
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
OBO
3 - 1
AHA
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
ALT
2 - 1
AHA
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |