Merw vs Ahal FT analysis


54	ELO	56
-5.9%	Tilt	-4.2%
6716º	General ELO ranking	4656º
8º	Country ELO ranking	3º
ELO win probability

42.9%

Merw

26.4%

Draw

30.7%

Ahal FT

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

42.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%

26.4%

Draw

0-0

7.8%

1-1

12.6%

2-2

5.1%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

0

26.4%

30.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-49%

+17%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Merw

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
26 May. 2018	MER 0 - 1 EFT 47% 26% 28%	55	55
19 May. 2018	AGA 1 - 0 MER 42% 27% 31%	55	55
12 May. 2018	MER 1 - 1 BFT 45% 26% 30%	55	55
05 May. 2018	AGA 3 - 2 MER 44% 27% 30%	55	55
21 Apr. 2018	MER 0 - 0 ALT 43% 26% 32%	55	55

Matches

Ahal FT

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
27 May. 2018	AHA 2 - 0 BFT 50% 24% 26%	55	55	0	0
23 May. 2018	EFT 1 - 2 AHA 48% 25% 28%	55	55	0	0
16 May. 2018	FKA 2 - 3 AHA 12% 20% 68%	56	33	23	-1
11 May. 2018	KAS 0 - 1 AHA 46% 25% 29%	55	55	0	+1
06 May. 2018	AHA 0 - 1 ALT 47% 25% 28%	55	55	0	0