Merw vs Ahal FT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2011 |
AGA
1 - 3
MER
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AGA
1 - 0
MER
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
HTT
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MER
4 - 0
GAA
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
BAG
0 - 1
MER
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ahal FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2011 |
AHA
2 - 1
BAG
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ALT
0 - 0
AHA
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
AHA
2 - 1
DAO
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
GAA
1 - 2
AHA
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AGA
0 - 1
AHA
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |