Merw vs Şagadam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
MER
0 - 1
ALT
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
AHA
3 - 0
MER
73%
17%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
ARK
7 - 0
MER
73%
16%
12%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
BFT
3 - 0
MER
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
AGA
0 - 0
MER
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
AGA
4 - 1
KAS
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ALT
1 - 1
AGA
69%
18%
14%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
AGA
1 - 2
AHA
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ARK
4 - 0
AGA
66%
18%
16%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
BFT
0 - 0
AGA
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |