Merw vs Şagadam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
EFT
0 - 1
MER
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
KAS
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 0
MER
62%
22%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
MER
0 - 1
AHA
17%
21%
62%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
BFT
0 - 1
MER
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AGA
2 - 0
EFT
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
KAS
1 - 4
AGA
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 0
AGA
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
AHA
1 - 0
AGA
75%
16%
10%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 2
BFT
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |