Merw vs Şagadam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
EFT
0 - 2
MER
17%
23%
61%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
AGA
2 - 2
MER
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
BFT
2 - 0
MER
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
MER
0 - 1
EFT
84%
12%
5%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
AGA
0 - 0
MER
27%
26%
48%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
AGA
1 - 2
ALT
16%
21%
63%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
AHA
2 - 2
AGA
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
AGA
0 - 1
ARK
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
EFT
1 - 0
AGA
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
AGA
0 - 2
BFT
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |