Merw vs Şagadam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
AHA
0 - 0
MER
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 1
MER
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
MER
2 - 0
KAS
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
MER
2 - 3
AHA
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
MER
0 - 1
EFT
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
AGA
0 - 0
EFT
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2018 |
AGA
0 - 2
AHA
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
AGA
1 - 0
AGA
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 1
AGA
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
BFT
0 - 1
AGA
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |