Merw vs Şagadam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
MER
0 - 3
AHA
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
EFT
2 - 1
MER
50%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
MER
2 - 1
BFT
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
ALT
4 - 2
MER
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
MER
3 - 1
DAO
39%
25%
37%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
AGA
1 - 0
EFT
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
BFT
1 - 2
AGA
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
AGA
0 - 2
ALT
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
DAO
2 - 7
AGA
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
AGA
1 - 0
KAS
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |