Merw vs Şagadam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
KAS
0 - 0
MER
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
MER
0 - 1
AGA
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
AHA
5 - 1
MER
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
MER
0 - 2
EFT
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BFT
4 - 1
MER
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
AHA
1 - 0
AGA
54%
23%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
AGA
0 - 1
EFT
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
AGA
2 - 2
BFT
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
AGA
3 - 0
DAO
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
KAS
1 - 2
AGA
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +2 |