Merw vs Şagadam analysis


56	ELO	54
-2.4%	Tilt	-3.8%
6692º	General ELO ranking	5552º
8º	Country ELO ranking	5º
ELO win probability

47.5%

Merw

25.4%

Draw

27.1%

Şagadam

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

47.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%

25.4%

Draw

0-0

7.1%

1-1

12.1%

2-2

5.1%

3-3

1%

4-4

0.1%

0

25.4%

27.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-90%

-26%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Merw

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
31 Aug. 2013	AHA 4 - 2 MER 54% 24% 23%	55	55
27 Aug. 2013	MER 0 - 1 HTT 48% 25% 26%	55	55
24 Aug. 2013	MER 4 - 1 DAO 45% 25% 31%	55	55
17 Aug. 2013	BAL 1 - 0 MER 52% 24% 24%	55	55
10 Aug. 2013	MER 3 - 1 BAG 45% 25% 30%	55	55

Matches

Şagadam

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
31 Aug. 2013	AGA 1 - 5 BAL 44% 27% 30%	55	55
27 Aug. 2013	BAG 1 - 2 AGA 46% 26% 28%	55	55
24 Aug. 2013	AGA 1 - 1 NIS 43% 26% 32%	55	55
17 Aug. 2013	TAL 1 - 2 AGA 52% 24% 25%	55	55
10 Aug. 2013	AGA 0 - 3 ALT 44% 27% 30%	55	55