Merw vs Aşgabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
AHA
5 - 1
MER
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
MER
1 - 0
BFT
23%
23%
55%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MER
0 - 1
ALT
20%
23%
58%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ARK
9 - 0
MER
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MER
2 - 0
AGA
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
AGA
2 - 1
EFT
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
KAS
0 - 2
AGA
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
AHA
4 - 0
AGA
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 2
BFT
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 0
AGA
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |