Merw vs Aşgabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
MER
3 - 2
EFT
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ALT
3 - 1
MER
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
MER
0 - 1
KAS
29%
27%
44%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
BFT
2 - 1
MER
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2020 |
MER
1 - 2
AGA
26%
27%
47%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
AGA
1 - 3
KAS
34%
28%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
AGA
1 - 0
AGA
56%
25%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2020 |
AGA
2 - 4
AHA
16%
25%
59%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
AHA
5 - 0
AGA
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2020 |
AGA
0 - 1
ALT
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |