Merw vs Aşgabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
KAS
2 - 0
MER
66%
21%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
MER
4 - 1
BFT
33%
25%
43%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
MER
0 - 1
AGA
21%
26%
53%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
MER
2 - 3
EFT
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
AHA
1 - 0
MER
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
AGA
1 - 1
AGA
23%
27%
50%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
EFT
1 - 1
AGA
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
AGA
1 - 1
AHA
18%
25%
57%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
AGA
1 - 3
ALT
9%
19%
72%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BFT
1 - 2
AGA
59%
22%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |