Merw vs Aşgabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2019 |
KAS
2 - 2
MER
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
MER
1 - 1
BFT
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
MER
0 - 0
AGA
31%
27%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
MER
0 - 1
EFT
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
AHA
3 - 0
MER
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
AGA
0 - 3
AGA
26%
28%
46%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
EFT
1 - 2
AGA
61%
23%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
AGA
0 - 0
AHA
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BFT
1 - 0
AGA
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
KAS
2 - 1
AGA
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |