Merw vs Aşgabat analysis


56	ELO	54
-4.3%	Tilt	-5.3%
6761º	General ELO ranking	6424º
8º	Country ELO ranking	7º
ELO win probability

45.2%

Merw

25.8%

Draw

29%

Aşgabat

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

45.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%

25.8%

Draw

0-0

7.2%

1-1

12.2%

2-2

5.2%

3-3

1%

4-4

0.1%

0

25.7%

29%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-45%

-38%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Merw

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
17 Mar. 2018	BFT 2 - 0 MER 49% 25% 26%	55	55
10 Mar. 2018	MER 2 - 0 AGA 46% 26% 28%	55	55
09 Dec. 2017	MER 0 - 3 AHA 44% 26% 31%	55	55
02 Dec. 2017	EFT 2 - 1 MER 50% 24% 25%	55	55
25 Nov. 2017	MER 2 - 1 BFT 47% 25% 28%	55	55

Matches

Aşgabat

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
16 Mar. 2018	AGA 1 - 1 EFT 44% 26% 29%	55	55
10 Mar. 2018	KAS 1 - 2 AGA 46% 25% 29%	55	55
03 Mar. 2018	BFT 0 - 1 AGA 49% 24% 27%	55	55
13 Dec. 2017	AHA 1 - 1 AGA 49% 24% 27%	55	55
09 Dec. 2017	AGA 1 - 0 EFT 45% 26% 29%	55	55