Merw vs Aşgabat analysis


56	ELO	54
-4.1%	Tilt	-7.4%
6711º	General ELO ranking	6263º
8º	Country ELO ranking	7º
ELO win probability

44.6%

Merw

25.5%

Draw

29.9%

Aşgabat

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

44.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%

25.5%

Draw

0-0

6.8%

1-1

12.1%

2-2

5.4%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.1%

0

25.5%

29.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-59%

-51%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Merw

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
16 Sep. 2017	MER 1 - 2 ALT 44% 26% 30%	55	55
12 Sep. 2017	AHA 3 - 0 MER 52% 24% 24%	55	55
09 Sep. 2017	MER 2 - 2 EFT 48% 25% 27%	55	55
26 Aug. 2017	BFT 2 - 0 MER 51% 24% 25%	55	55
19 Aug. 2017	DAO 0 - 2 MER 48% 25% 26%	55	55

Matches

Aşgabat

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
29 Sep. 2017	AGA 1 - 2 AHA 42% 26% 32%	55	55
13 Sep. 2017	EFT 0 - 1 AGA 48% 24% 28%	55	55
09 Sep. 2017	AGA 1 - 0 BFT 44% 26% 30%	55	55
22 Aug. 2017	AGA 3 - 0 DAO 38% 25% 37%	55	55
19 Aug. 2017	AGA 3 - 0 AGA 41% 27% 32%	55	55