Merw vs Aşgabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
AHA
5 - 1
MER
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
MER
0 - 2
EFT
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BFT
4 - 1
MER
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
DAO
0 - 1
MER
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
AGA
2 - 1
MER
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
AGA
1 - 1
AHA
43%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
EFT
2 - 1
AGA
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
AGA
0 - 2
BFT
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ALT
2 - 1
AGA
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
AGA
2 - 0
DAO
77%
16%
8%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |