Merw vs Aşgabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
BFT
3 - 0
MER
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MER
1 - 2
ALT
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
DAO
1 - 3
MER
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MER
0 - 1
EFT
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
KAS
0 - 1
MER
48%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
AGA
3 - 0
YED
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AHA
2 - 2
AGA
50%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
AGA
2 - 1
AGA
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
AGA
2 - 1
KAS
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
BFT
1 - 0
AGA
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |