Merw vs Aşgabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
-77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
HTT
2 - 0
MER
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
GAA
3 - 3
MER
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
MER
4 - 0
BAG
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
ALT
1 - 2
MER
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
MER
2 - 0
BAL
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
AGA
6 - 0
BAG
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
ALT
3 - 0
AGA
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
AGA
2 - 1
BAL
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
DAO
0 - 4
AGA
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
AGA
3 - 2
AHA
52%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |