Merw vs Aşgabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
-77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
HTT
2 - 1
MER
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
GAA
0 - 2
MER
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
MER
0 - 1
BAG
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2011 |
ALT
1 - 1
MER
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
BAL
52%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
AGA
4 - 1
BAG
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
ALT
1 - 2
AGA
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
AGA
4 - 2
BAL
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2011 |
DAO
1 - 6
AGA
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
AGA
2 - 0
AHA
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |