Merw U21 vs Ahal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2020 |
ENE
2 - 0
MER
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2020 |
MER
0 - 6
ALT
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2020 |
KOP
3 - 0
MER
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2020 |
MER
2 - 2
NEB
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2020 |
SAG
2 - 4
MER
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ahal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2020 |
AHA
2 - 6
ALT
25%
26%
50%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2020 |
NEB
2 - 0
AHA
50%
23%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2020 |
AHA
3 - 0
ENE
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2020 |
ALT
4 - 0
AHA
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2020 |
KOP
2 - 3
AHA
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |