Mervue United vs Sporting Fingal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
56.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mervue United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
WAT
2 - 0
MER
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
MER
1 - 2
UCD
39%
28%
33%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MER
3 - 2
LON
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
KIL
0 - 3
MER
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
MER
0 - 1
SHE
19%
26%
55%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Fingal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2009 |
DRO
0 - 2
SFI
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
SFI
1 - 1
LIM
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LON
1 - 3
SFI
22%
25%
54%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
SFI
1 - 0
SHE
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
SFI
21%
22%
56%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |