Mervue United vs Limerick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
69.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mervue United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FIN
4 - 3
MER
49%
25%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
MER
0 - 1
LON
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
FIN
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
WAT
2 - 0
MER
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
MER
0 - 1
MON
9%
19%
72%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Limerick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
WAT
3 - 1
LIM
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
LIM
2 - 1
FIN
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LIM
3 - 0
WAT
62%
22%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
LIM
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
LIM
3 - 1
ATH
71%
20%
10%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |