Mervue United vs Limerick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mervue United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
WEX
0 - 3
MER
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
MER
0 - 2
SHE
17%
24%
59%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
LON
2 - 2
MER
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
MER
1 - 2
CAO
16%
25%
59%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 5
MER
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Limerick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
LIM
6 - 0
WEX
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
SHE
1 - 2
LIM
57%
22%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
LIM
1 - 0
LON
68%
21%
12%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CAO
3 - 3
LIM
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
BRW
0 - 4
LIM
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |