Mervue United vs Finn Harps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mervue United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LON
2 - 0
MER
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 1
MER
24%
22%
54%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MER
0 - 2
WAT
19%
25%
56%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
WEX
1 - 2
MER
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
MER
2 - 0
ATH
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FIN
1 - 1
LIM
10%
20%
70%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LON
0 - 1
FIN
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
FIN
2 - 0
SAL
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 1
FIN
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
FIN
3 - 3
WEX
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |