Mertskhali vs Spartaki Tskhinvali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
47.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mertskhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
ACH
3 - 3
MER
36%
24%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
MER
0 - 0
SAM
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
ALG
1 - 0
MER
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
MER
4 - 2
ADE
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
CHK
0 - 6
MER
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Spartaki Tskhinvali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TSK
3 - 1
LOK
72%
17%
10%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
SHU
0 - 1
TSK
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
TSK
4 - 1
SAM
64%
20%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
TSK
2 - 0
ACH
80%
14%
7%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
TSK
5 - 0
SAM
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |