Mertskhali vs Samegrelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mertskhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
BET
6 - 1
MER
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
MER
0 - 1
SKU
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
BOR
3 - 0
MER
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
CHK
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
GAG
4 - 1
MER
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Samegrelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
IME
15%
20%
64%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
LIA
6 - 2
SAM
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
CHI
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 0
SAM
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
WIT
19%
23%
59%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | 0 |