Mertskhali II vs Sapovnela II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
69.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mertskhali II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
RAC
2 - 0
MER
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
MER
0 - 2
SHU
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 1
MER
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 52 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Sapovnela II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAP
4 - 1
KOL
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
TOR
5 - 1
SAP
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -3 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
SAP
0 - 0
LAZ
16%
22%
63%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | +2 |