Mertskhali II vs Samegrelo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
37%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mertskhali II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
KOL
4 - 1
MER
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
MER
2 - 1
EGR
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
SAI
4 - 0
MER
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
MER
1 - 0
BAK
15%
17%
68%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
SUL
5 - 0
MER
86%
11%
4%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Samegrelo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 1
IME
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
SAM
9 - 0
SAM
46%
21%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 3
ZAB
49%
22%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 2
KOL
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
EGR
7 - 0
SAM
55%
20%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |