Merthyr Town vs Kings Langley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 0
MER
12%
20%
68%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 2
MER
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
STR
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
LEA
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 1
MER
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Kings Langley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
KIN
1 - 1
WEY
30%
25%
46%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
KIN
1 - 3
YEL
44%
22%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
KIN
4 - 5
BIG
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SLO
2 - 2
KIN
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
KIN
1 - 2
KET
32%
24%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |