Merthyr Town vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
WIM
0 - 0
MER
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BLA
0 - 0
MER
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
MER
4 - 2
TAU
23%
23%
55%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 0
MER
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
POO
1 - 1
MER
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BEA
2 - 1
POO
22%
23%
56%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
WIM
2 - 0
BEA
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BEA
2 - 2
WES
33%
23%
45%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
FAR
2 - 0
BEA
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 0
BEA
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |