Merthyr Town vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
43.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SAL
2 - 0
MER
70%
16%
14%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
STA
2 - 6
MER
52%
21%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 1
MER
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MER
1 - 4
WIN
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
MER
2 - 2
MET
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
BEA
7 - 0
CHE
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
GOS
2 - 3
BEA
26%
21%
53%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
BEA
47%
23%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
WIM
0 - 1
BEA
36%
22%
42%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FCR
0 - 2
BEA
13%
15%
72%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |