Merthyr Town vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.3%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.7%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
12.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.6%
2%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2014 |
MER
0 - 1
EVE
81%
13%
7%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
TIV
1 - 2
MER
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
DID
2 - 1
MER
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
MER
3 - 3
DID
61%
20%
19%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MER
5 - 2
SWI
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 1
MAN
10%
18%
73%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
LAR
3 - 0
BAS
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
EVE
5 - 0
BAS
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 4
SWI
9%
16%
75%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
NOR
11 - 0
BAS
91%
7%
2%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | -1 |