Merstham vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MER
3 - 0
HOR
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
MER
54%
21%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
MER
1 - 0
ENF
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
MER
3 - 0
WIN
49%
23%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
KIN
0 - 0
MER
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
WOR
0 - 3
ENF
57%
20%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 2
WOR
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
LEA
2 - 1
WOR
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
WOR
1 - 4
DOR
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
WOR
3 - 4
LEW
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |