Merstham vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
FOL
6 - 1
MER
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MER
0 - 1
BRI
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 1
MER
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
MER
1 - 3
HOR
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
MER
2 - 2
BIS
22%
24%
54%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 2
HAR
34%
24%
42%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
WIN
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 2
HOR
17%
21%
62%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
WIN
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
HOR
2 - 0
WIN
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |