Merstham vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
KIN
0 - 0
MER
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 2
MER
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MER
4 - 1
DOR
29%
24%
47%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +3 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
MER
3 - 2
LEW
27%
24%
50%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
POT
0 - 1
MER
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
WIN
0 - 4
HAR
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
ENF
4 - 1
WIN
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
WIN
2 - 0
CAR
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
WIN
2 - 0
DUL
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +3 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 2
HAR
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |