Merstham vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
39.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
MER
1 - 6
HAM
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
VCD
1 - 3
MER
29%
24%
48%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 2
MER
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MER
2 - 2
EAS
30%
22%
48%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
HAM
2 - 1
MER
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
CAN
2 - 1
WIN
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 3
WES
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BUR
0 - 1
WIN
46%
24%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 2
CAN
59%
22%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
WIN
2 - 1
CON
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |