Merstham vs Sutton Common Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
39.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
THR
3 - 3
MER
86%
9%
5%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MER
0 - 2
HYT
17%
20%
63%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FAV
2 - 1
MER
57%
22%
21%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LAN
1 - 0
MER
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MER
2 - 1
RAY
17%
17%
66%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Sutton Common Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SCR
2 - 1
GUE
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
6 - 1
SCR
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SCR
1 - 2
UXB
36%
23%
40%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MET
0 - 4
SCR
84%
12%
5%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
BUR
2 - 1
SCR
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |