Merstham vs Kingstonian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
WHI
0 - 1
MER
29%
24%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MER
1 - 3
FOL
42%
23%
36%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
LEW
2 - 1
MER
37%
24%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MER
0 - 2
BUR
79%
14%
8%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MER
5 - 1
HAR
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
KIN
2 - 3
HOR
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
HAR
2 - 0
KIN
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
KIN
2 - 1
ENF
26%
22%
52%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
KIN
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
LEW
3 - 0
KIN
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |