Merstham vs Folkestone Invicta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
LEW
2 - 1
MER
37%
24%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MER
0 - 2
BUR
79%
14%
8%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MER
5 - 1
HAR
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
MER
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MER
0 - 0
HAR
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
WHI
73%
16%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
POT
2 - 2
FOL
18%
20%
62%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
FOL
0 - 1
WOR
49%
22%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LEA
0 - 0
FOL
39%
24%
38%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
FOL
4 - 0
LEW
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |