FA Trophy 1/512
Global 2-0
Merstham vs Folkestone Invicta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
42.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 0
MER
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
RAM
1 - 1
MER
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MER
2 - 1
WHI
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
WAL
1 - 0
MER
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
COR
2 - 2
MER
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 0
MER
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
2 - 2
TOW
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
FOL
24%
25%
51%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
SIT
0 - 1
FOL
13%
22%
65%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FOL
2 - 1
WOR
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |