Merstham vs Dulwich Hamlet FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BOG
4 - 3
MER
45%
24%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 3
MER
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
FAV
0 - 0
MER
38%
24%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MER
3 - 1
SIT
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 3
MER
13%
20%
68%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Dulwich Hamlet FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
DUL
3 - 0
CAN
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
DUL
2 - 1
DAG
20%
24%
56%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
DUL
2 - 3
POS
15%
22%
63%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
DUL
51%
24%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
TON
2 - 2
DUL
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |