Merstham vs Dorking Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
MER
2 - 0
FOL
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MER
0 - 0
MET
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
THU
1 - 1
MER
41%
24%
36%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MER
3 - 3
BRI
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
HAR
2 - 2
MER
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dorking Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
MET
4 - 1
DOR
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CON
3 - 0
DOR
44%
24%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
TON
2 - 0
DOR
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
DOR
3 - 2
BRI
42%
24%
35%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 3
DOR
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |