Merstham vs Chipstead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
HAS
1 - 1
MER
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 2
MER
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
MER
4 - 3
RED
77%
14%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 1
MER
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
WHI
1 - 1
MER
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 2
WHI
59%
21%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 2
THR
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 1
FAV
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
EAS
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
HAS
0 - 1
CHI
40%
25%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |