Merstham vs Chipstead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
WHY
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CRA
4 - 1
MER
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
GOD
0 - 4
MER
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MER
3 - 0
TOW
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
HYT
3 - 1
MER
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
GOD
1 - 0
CHI
39%
25%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
FAV
1 - 2
CHI
41%
24%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
FAV
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
FOL
2 - 0
CHI
46%
25%
28%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
WHI
25%
24%
51%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |