Merstham vs Chipstead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
DUL
55%
23%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
TOW
1 - 1
MER
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MER
0 - 2
FLE
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
MER
2 - 2
HOR
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
COR
3 - 4
MER
45%
23%
33%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
HOR
1 - 2
CHI
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
CHI
3 - 0
WHI
39%
25%
37%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 3
LEA
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
WAL
4 - 1
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
GOD
2 - 1
CHI
76%
16%
8%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |