Merstham vs Bowers and Pitsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
48.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MER
5 - 0
HAR
22%
23%
56%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
MER
1 - 3
MAR
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
COR
0 - 3
MER
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MER
0 - 2
HER
27%
25%
48%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
KIN
4 - 1
MER
75%
15%
9%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Bowers and Pitsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BOW
2 - 1
ALD
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BOW
0 - 1
KIN
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
HOR
0 - 2
BOW
63%
21%
17%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BOW
2 - 2
HOR
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BOW
1 - 0
HOR
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |