Merstham vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
BOG
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BIL
1 - 1
MER
51%
23%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MER
3 - 1
KIN
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TON
3 - 2
MER
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MER
0 - 4
ENF
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 3
YEL
15%
22%
63%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
YEL
2 - 2
DUL
41%
25%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
YEL
1 - 2
CHM
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 3
YEL
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
YEL
3 - 1
HIS
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |