Merstham vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
HOR
2 - 1
MER
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MER
2 - 2
BOG
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CRA
3 - 1
MER
85%
10%
5%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MER
1 - 4
ENF
21%
21%
58%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -3 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
HOR
2 - 2
MER
73%
17%
10%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BFC
2 - 0
AFD
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
THA
1 - 5
AFD
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
AFD
3 - 3
ROY
9%
17%
74%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
AFD
4 - 0
HAL
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
AYL
3 - 1
AFD
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |