Merreikh El-Fasher vs Hilal Obayed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
44.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merreikh El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 1
MER
59%
24%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
MER
0 - 1
AAS
36%
24%
41%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
HIL
2 - 0
MER
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
HAY
0 - 0
MER
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
MER
1 - 0
ALH
51%
24%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Hilal Obayed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
OBA
2 - 1
HIL
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
HAW
1 - 1
OBA
37%
29%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
OBA
0 - 0
ALA
62%
22%
15%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
ASH
0 - 2
OBA
46%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
OBA
1 - 1
KHA
52%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |